Glenn Reynolds has a link to an interesting speculative future history piece over at the Telegraph, talking about the 'chain of events that led to the inevitable Great War of 2007.' It gets a lot right (I fear) but I do have a few points of contention with the 'facts' presented.
First, I'm not so convinced that Condi Rice will be so eager to persuade Bush to stick to diplomacy. Rice strikes me as the type willing to go to the mattresses if it came to that. And second, should Iran amass a nuclear stockpile and start thowing bombs around willy-nilly - and should the Chinese become involved - I think there's a good chance the Chinese will end up nominally on our side. After all, they have to know that once Israel is nuked and Europe rendered impotent that the biggest enemy within missile range is to the east, not the west.
I think they're spot on about one thing though - Ariel Sharon's untimely stroke is one of those pivot events where nothing's the same anymore.
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